Energy Policy Simulator Model Results

Energy Innovation has developed an Energy Policy Simulator (EPS) model for Canada (including a regional Alberta version), China, India, Mexico, Indonesia, Poland, Saudi Arabia, and the United States — with more to come. Together, these countries represent 56 percent of global emissions.

The EPS identifies policies capable of securing deep decarbonization and recommends the most effective policies for each country or subnational region while evaluating the economic, emissions, and public health impacts of those policies. It provides much more flexibility than other models in modeling policy options while accounting correctly for policy interactions.

The EPS model is accessible under the GPL v3 license. Users are free to download, distribute, transform, and modify the EPS as long as they indicate if changes were made and make modified versions publicly available under the GPL v3 license.

EPS model results may be published under the CC BY 4.0 license, which requires attribution to Energy Innovation. Users are free to run their own scenarios and generate insights and findings. Energy Innovation does not endorse modeling created by users unless explicitly stated, and users are responsible for their own results produced using the EPS.

Top publications of EPS-driven research broken down by national and sub-national region are detailed below.

Enhancing Canada’s Climate Commitments: Building on the Pan-Canadian Framework. Energy Innovation, Pembina Institute. March 2018.

California Energy Policy Simulator Update: Earlier Action Delivers Social and Economic Benefits. Energy Innovation. June 2022.
Clean Trucks, Big Bucks: California Energy Policy Simulator evaluation Of The Proposed Advanced Clean Trucks Rule. Energy Innovation. June 2020.

Long-term Costs and Benefits Analysis of China’s Low-carbon Policies. China’s National Center for Climate Change Strategy and International Cooperation, Renmin University of China, Energy Innovation. August 2019.
Assessing the Policy Gaps for Achieving China’s Climate Targets in the Paris Agreement. Tufts University, China’s National Center for Climate Change Strategy and International Cooperation, Energy Innovation. March 2019.
Climate and Energy Policy Solutions for China: Quantitative Analysis and Policy Recommendations for the 13^th Five-Year Plan. China’s National Center for Climate Change Strategy and International Cooperation, Energy Research Institute, Energy Innovation. July 2016.

Colorado Energy Policy Simulator Insights: Current Emissions Trajectory, 1.5°C Scenario. Energy Innovation and RMI. May 2021.

Hong Kong Energy Policy Simulator: Methods, Data, and Scenario Results for 2050. World Resources Institute, Energy Innovation. January 2020.

Pathways for Decarbonizing India’s Energy Future: Scenario Analysis Using the Energy Policy Simulator. World Resources Institute, Energy Innovation. January 2022.
A Tool for Designing a Policy Package to Achieve India’s Climate Targets. World Resources Institute, Energy Innovation. January 2019.

A Tool for Designing a Policy Package to Achieve Indonesia’s Climate Targets. World Resources Institute, Energy Innovation. July 2017.

Louisiana Energy Policy Simulator Insights: Current Emissions Trajectory, NDC Scenario. Energy Innovation and RMI. November 2021.

Choosing the Right Path: Low-Cost Policy Options for Enhancing Mexico’s Climate Goals While Achieving Long-Term Social Benefits. World Resources Institute. May 2019.
Achieving Mexico’s Climate Goals: An Eight-Point Action Plan. World Resources Institute, Energy Innovation, Centro Mario Molina. November 2016.

2030 Report: How Michigan Should Meet its Climate Change Goals. 5 Lakes Energy, Natural Resources Defense Council, Michigan Environmental Council, and RMI. October 2022.