Earlier this summer, Energy Innovation modeled the nationwide impacts of Project 2025’s climate and energy provisions, finding they would cost the U.S. 1.7 million jobs and $320 billion in GDP while raising household energy costs by $32 billion, all in 2030.
We’ve now broken down those findings for each of the lower 48 states.
Every state modeled has adverse economic impacts, regardless of whether their respective energy mix relies upon clean energy or fossil fuels. For example, Project 2025’s policies would:
- Cost Pennsylvania 37,700 jobs and $7.57 billion from state GDP while burdening the average household with $170 in additional energy costs in 2030.
- Cost Texas 124,000 jobs and $27 billion from state GDP while burdening the average household with $110 in additional energy costs in 2030.
- Cost California 110,300 jobs and $34.59 billion from state GDP while burdening the average household with $470 in additional energy costs in 2030.
Project 2025 proposes repealing the Inflation Reduction Act, rolling back federal standards limiting pollution from power plants and cars, and subsidizing fossil fuel production. These measures would halt America’s clean manufacturing renaissance, shed jobs for a decade, take a bite out of U.S. GDP, and burden households with higher energy costs.
These effects hold even if fossil fuel prices fall due to increased oil and gas production, meaning lower fossil fuel prices would be more than offset by higher electricity costs and gasoline use in the Project 2025 scenario
This analysis brings nonpartisan research and quantitative grounding to a rhetorical environment so all Americans –businesses, families, and policymakers – can come to their own conclusions about the climate and energy futures on the table.
All 48 fact sheets are available for download by clicking the state below.